Iowa Caucus: What Went Down?

Iowa Caucus: What Went Down?

Wednesday, 16 March 2016

With the 2016 Presidential Race now at full steam, tensions are high in both parties. The Republicans were heading into Iowa with high hopes even though according to the RCP Poll average businessman Donald Trump had a 36% lead over Texas Senator Ted Cruz who had 19%. Florida Senator Marco Rubio trailed with 10%. Things were looking great for Trump as he gathered massive crowds at his rallies.

In an unseen turn of events Cruz won Iowa beating Trump by 3%. Cruz collected 27% of the votes while Trump took in much less than expected at 24%. The most unexpected result? Rubio in a very, very close third at 23%.

Other Candidates like Dr. Ben Carson received 9% and Libertarian Rand Paul, son of Ron Paul took in 5%. Everyone else took in less than 3%. Governor Mike Huckabee announced shortly after the results that he would be suspending his campaign.

Winning Iowa doesn’t mark the end of a campaign however. Huckabee won Iowa in 2008 and never saw the GOP nomination so with New Hampshire right around the corner, things will get heated. Trump is projected to win New Hampshire by a landslide with 34% to Cruz’s 11% – but things have changed now. With Cruz’s victory, voters are going to take notice.

Now here’s where it gets really interesting.

On the Democratic Side, Frontrunner and Former Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton took on Vermont Senator, Bernie Sanders and Governor Martin O’Malley. Up until about a month or so ago, Sanders’ chances were looking bleak. His numbers were low and he wasn’t getting his message across. However Sanders’ young supporters were able to make his voice heard, and raise his poll numbers significantly before the Caucus making them quite close to Clinton’s. Very close.

Clinton and Sanders virtually tied at the Caucus and with no clear winner to be established, Sanders isn’t accepting defeat. The numbers that have been floating around are approximately 49.9% for Clinton and 49.6% for Sanders. O’Malley took in an expected 0.6% and has officially suspended his campaign.

The victor of the Caucus has to go to Sanders, for overcoming such odds and New Hampshire will be a fight for Clinton where she trails to Sanders’ 56%. She only has 38%. If Clinton were to win the Democratic Nomination she’d be the first female Democratic Nominee in history, and if Sanders were to win he’d be the first Socialist, and first Jewish President.

But just like the GOP side showed last night anything can happen and all eyes will be on New Hampshire as the race for the White House continues…